Overview/What’s New: Tropical Storm Fred is forecast to strengthen to a strong tropical storm prior to landfall.  The track of the storm has shifted slightly further east and is now forecast to make landfall east of Destin, FL.

Potential Threats: 

• Tropical Storm Force Winds between 40-50 mph, especially in gusts, are becoming increasingly likely in Okaloosa Co, FL, and possible further north into Covington Co, AL.
• Heavy Rainfall and Flash Flooding is possible in Okaloosa Co, FL, Covington Co, AL, and Crenshaw Co, AL, where a Flash Flood Watch remains in effect.  Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches will be possible with locally higher amounts possible along the coast near Destin.
• Minor Coastal Flooding of 1-3 feet is expected across coastal locations within the western Florida Panhandle.
• High Surf and Wave Run-up may result in additional flooding along coastal Alabama and the western Florida Panhandle.
• An isolated tornado cannot be ruled out over portions of the western Florida Panhandle and south-central Alabama this morning through early afternoon.

Confidence: Increasing regarding a landfall of a strengthening tropical storm along the western Florida Panhandle, most likely east of Destin.

Fred Briefing Packet_081621_5am