Troy vs. Southern Miss Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – February 28

Published 4:48 pm Thursday, February 27, 2025

Friday’s game that pits the Troy Trojans (19-10, 12-5 Sun Belt) against the Southern Miss Golden Eagles (10-20, 5-12 Sun Belt) at Reed Green Coliseum has a projected final score of 76-67 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of Troy, who is the favorite in this matchup by our model. Tipoff is at 8:30 p.m. ET on February 28.

Based on our computer prediction, Southern Miss is projected to cover the point spread (8.5) against Troy. The two sides are projected to go over the 142.5 total.

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Troy vs. Southern Miss Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Friday, February 28, 2025
  • Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
  • TV: ESPN+
  • Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Hattiesburg, Mississippi
  • Venue: Reed Green Coliseum
  • Line: Troy -8.5
  • Point total: 142.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Troy -400, Southern Miss +310

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Troy vs. Southern Miss Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Troy 76, Southern Miss 67

Spread & Total Prediction for Troy vs. Southern Miss

  • Pick ATS: Southern Miss (+8.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (142.5)

Troy has a 16-11-0 record against the spread this season compared to Southern Miss, who is 15-13-0 ATS. The Trojans are 11-16-0 and the Golden Eagles are 12-16-0 in terms of going over the point total. The teams average 145.2 points per game, 2.7 more points than this matchup’s total. Troy is 5-5 against the spread and 7-3 overall in its past 10 contests, while Southern Miss has gone 5-5 against the spread and 1-9 overall.

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Troy Performance Insights

  • The Trojans have a +219 scoring differential, topping opponents by 7.5 points per game. They’re putting up 73.1 points per game to rank 210th in college basketball and are giving up 65.6 per contest to rank 26th in college basketball.
  • Troy ranks 47th in college basketball at 34.9 rebounds per game. That’s 6.2 more than the 28.7 its opponents average.
  • Troy connects on 7.8 three-pointers per game (163rd in college basketball), while its opponents have made 6.8 on average.
  • The Trojans rank 224th in college basketball with 94.1 points scored per 100 possessions, and 15th in college basketball defensively with 84.3 points conceded per 100 possessions.
  • Troy and its opponents have been relatively even in the turnover battle. The Trojans commit 13.3 per game (335th in college basketball) and force 13.2 (48th in college basketball action).

Southern Miss Performance Insights

  • The Golden Eagles have been outscored by 4.4 points per game (posting 72.1 points per game, 242nd in college basketball, while conceding 76.5 per contest, 306th in college basketball) and have a -132 scoring differential.
  • The 32.8 rebounds per game Southern Miss accumulates rank 139th in the country. Their opponents pull down 33.5.
  • Southern Miss makes 6.6 three-pointers per game (300th in college basketball), 1.1 fewer than its opponents. It is shooting 30.7% from deep (331st in college basketball) and its opponents are shooting 32.7%.
  • Southern Miss loses the turnover battle by 2.5 per game, committing 13.5 (337th in college basketball) while its opponents average 11.0.

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