Thunder vs. Hawks Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – February 28

Published 9:16 pm Thursday, February 27, 2025

The Oklahoma City Thunder (47-11) visit the Atlanta Hawks (27-32) after winning three home road in a row. The Thunder are heavy favorites by 12.5 points in the matchup, which starts at 7:30 p.m. ET on Friday, February 28, 2025.

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Thunder vs. Hawks Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Friday, February 28, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
  • How to watch on TV: FDSSE and FDSOK
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Atlanta, Georgia
  • Venue: State Farm Arena

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Thunder vs. Hawks Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Thunder 121 – Hawks 109

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Spread & Total Prediction for Thunder vs. Hawks

  • Pick ATS: Hawks (+ 12.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Thunder (-12.0)
  • Pick OU:

    Under (240.5)

  • Computer Predicted Total: 229.8
  • The Thunder (35-23-0 ATS) have covered the spread 60.3% of the time, 12.8% more often than the Hawks (28-31-0) this season.
  • Oklahoma City (12-8) covers a lower percentage of games when it is favored by 12.5 points or more this season (60%) than Atlanta (1-0) does as a 12.5+-point underdog (100%).
  • Atlanta and its opponents have exceeded the total 57.6% of the time this season (34 out of 59). That’s less often than Oklahoma City and its opponents have (34 out of 58).
  • As a moneyline favorite this season, the Thunder are 45-10, a better record than the Hawks have recorded (17-22) as moneyline underdogs.

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Thunder Performance Insights

  • Everything is clicking for the Thunder, who are scoring 118.6 points per game (fourth-best in NBA) and surrendering 106 points per contest (second-best).
  • This year, Oklahoma City is grabbing 44.7 rebounds per game (13th-ranked in NBA) and giving up 45.6 rebounds per contest (25th-ranked).
  • This season, the Thunder rank 14th in the league in assists, dishing out 26.5 per game.
  • In terms of turnovers, it’s been a dominant stretch for Oklahoma City, who is averaging 11.2 turnovers per game (best in NBA) and forcing 17.2 turnovers per contest (best).
  • The Thunder are draining 14 treys per game (eighth-ranked in league). They sport a 36.1% shooting percentage (13th-ranked) from three-point land.

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Hawks Performance Insights

  • On offense the Hawks are the eighth-ranked team in the NBA (116.6 points per game). Defensively they are fourth-worst (119.2 points conceded per game).
  • With 44.9 rebounds per game and 44.5 rebounds conceded, Atlanta is 11th and 17th in the NBA, respectively.
  • With 29.3 assists per game, the Hawks are second-best in the NBA.
  • In terms of turnovers, Atlanta is 25th in the NBA in committing them (15 per game). It is second-best in forcing them (15.8 per game).
  • The Hawks make 13.1 3-pointers per game and shoot 34.9% from beyond the arc, ranking 16th and 19th, respectively, in the NBA.

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