Heat vs. Hawks Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – February 26
Published 9:16 pm Tuesday, February 25, 2025
The Miami Heat (26-30) host the Atlanta Hawks (27-31) in a matchup of Southeast Division teams at Kaseya Center, tipping off at 7:30 PM ET on Wednesday, February 26, 2025. The Heat are 1.5-point favorites in the game, the third matchup between the teams this season.
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Heat vs. Hawks Game Info & Odds
- Date: Wednesday, February 26, 2025
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- How to watch on TV: FDSSUN and FDSSE
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Location: Miami, Florida
- Venue: Kaseya Center
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Heat vs. Hawks Score Prediction
- Prediction:
Heat 116 – Hawks 112
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Spread & Total Prediction for Heat vs. Hawks
- Pick ATS: Heat (- 1.5)
- Computer Predicted Spread: Heat (-3.3)
- Pick OU:
Under (229.5)
- Computer Predicted Total: 228.0
- The Heat (25-31-0 ATS) have covered the spread 44.6% of the time, 3.7% less often than the Hawks (28-30-0) this year.
- When the spread is set as 1.5 or more this season, Miami (15-15) covers a lower percentage of those games when it is the favorite (50%) than Atlanta (22-15) does as the underdog (59.5%).
- When it comes to exceeding the over/under in 2024-25, Miami does it less often (53.6% of the time) than Atlanta (56.9%).
- As a moneyline favorite this season, the Heat are 18-13, while the Hawks are 17-21 as moneyline underdogs.
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Heat Performance Insights
- The Heat are putting up 109.7 points per game (24th-ranked in NBA) this season, while allowing 110.7 points per contest (seventh-ranked).
- Miami is averaging 44.1 boards per game (17th-ranked in NBA) this year, while allowing 45.7 rebounds per contest (25th-ranked).
- The Heat are averaging 25.9 assists per game, which ranks them 16th in the NBA in 2024-25.
- This year, Miami is averaging 12.7 turnovers per game (sixth-ranked in NBA) and forcing 12.6 turnovers per contest (23rd-ranked).
- The Heat rank 11th in the NBA with 13.8 treys per game this season. Meanwhile, they rank 17th with a 35.6% shooting percentage from downtown.
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Hawks Performance Insights
- In 2024-25, the Hawks are eighth in the NBA on offense (116.7 points scored per game) and fourth-worst on defense (119.0 points conceded).
- On the boards, Atlanta is 11th in the NBA in rebounds (45.1 per game). It is 19th in rebounds conceded (44.7 per game).
- The Hawks are second-best in the league in assists (29.3 per game) in 2024-25.
- In 2024-25, Atlanta is fifth-worst in the NBA in turnovers committed (15.0 per game) but second-best in turnovers forced (15.8).
- The Hawks are 15th in the league in 3-pointers made (13.1 per game) and 20th in 3-point percentage (34.9%).
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