Tuesday’s game features the Troy Trojans (18-10, 11-5 Sun Belt) and the Texas State Bobcats (15-14, 8-8 Sun Belt) squaring off at Strahan Arena at the University Events Center in what should be a close matchup, with a projected 73-70 win for Troy according to our computer prediction. Game time is at 8:00 PM ET on February 25.

Based on our computer prediction, Texas State is projected to cover the spread (2.5) versus Troy. The two teams are projected to exceed the 141.5 over/under.

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Troy vs. Texas State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Tuesday, February 25, 2025
• Time: 8:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: San Marcos, Texas
• Venue: Strahan Arena at the University Events Center
• Line: Troy -2.5
• Point total: 141.5
• Moneyline (to win): Troy -130, Texas State +108

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Troy vs. Texas State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Troy 73, Texas State 70

Spread & Total Prediction for Troy vs. Texas State

• Pick ATS: Texas State (+2.5)
• Pick OU: Over (141.5)

Troy is 15-11-0 against the spread, while Texas State’s ATS record this season is 13-14-0. The Trojans are 10-16-0 and the Bobcats are 16-11-0 in terms of hitting the over. The two teams combine to score 149.2 points per game, 7.7 more points than this matchup’s total. Over the last 10 contests, Troy is 5-5 against the spread and 7-3 overall while Texas State has gone 4-6 against the spread and 4-6 overall.

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Troy Performance Insights

• The Trojans outscore opponents by 7.7 points per game (scoring 73.1 points per game to rank 211th in college basketball while allowing 65.4 per outing to rank 25th in college basketball) and have a +214 scoring differential overall.
• Troy ranks 50th in college basketball at 34.8 rebounds per game. That’s 6.1 more than the 28.7 its opponents average.
• Troy makes 7.9 three-pointers per game (158th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 7.0. It shoots 30.4% from deep while its opponents hit 33.1% from long range.
• The Trojans rank 228th in college basketball with 94.1 points scored per 100 possessions, and 15th in college basketball defensively with 84.2 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• Troy has committed 13.4 turnovers per game (336th in college basketball action) while forcing 13.2 (50th in college basketball).

Texas State Performance Insights

• The Bobcats’ +92 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 3.2 points per game) is a result of putting up 76.1 points per game (120th in college basketball) while giving up 72.9 per contest (212th in college basketball).
• Texas State comes out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 4.4 boards. It grabs 33.5 rebounds per game (88th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 29.1.
• Texas State makes 6.1 three-pointers per game (332nd in college basketball), 1.4 fewer than its opponents. It is shooting 36.6% from beyond the arc (56th in college basketball) and its opponents are shooting 37.3%.
• Texas State forces 11.2 turnovers per game (201st in college basketball) while committing 11.4 (199th in college basketball).

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