Heat vs. Hawks Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – February 24

Published 7:18 am Monday, February 24, 2025

The Atlanta Hawks (26-31) are underdogs (+1.5) as they attempt to end a three-game losing streak when they host the Miami Heat (26-29) at 7:30 PM ET on Monday, February 24, 2025 at State Farm Arena. The matchup airs on FDSSE and FDSSUN.

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Heat vs. Hawks Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Monday, February 24, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • How to watch on TV: FDSSE and FDSSUN
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Atlanta, Georgia
  • Venue: State Farm Arena

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Heat vs. Hawks Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Hawks 115 – Heat 113

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Spread & Total Prediction for Heat vs. Hawks

  • Pick ATS: Hawks (+ 1.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Hawks (-2.0)
  • Pick OU:

    Over (227.5)

  • Computer Predicted Total: 228.8
  • The Hawks have a 27-30-0 ATS record this season as opposed to the 25-30-0 mark of the Heat.
  • Atlanta covers the spread when it is a 1.5-point underdog or more 59.5% of the time. That’s more often than Miami covers as a favorite of 1.5 or more (50%).
  • Miami’s games have gone over the total 54.5% of the time this season (30 out of 55), less often than Atlanta’s games have (33 out of 57).
  • As a moneyline favorite this year, the Heat are 18-13, while the Hawks are 17-21 as moneyline underdogs.

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Heat Performance Insights

  • With 110.1 points per game on offense, the Heat rank 24th in the NBA. At the other end of the court, they allow 110.9 points per contest, which ranks eighth in the league.
  • Miami is averaging 44.1 boards per game (17th-ranked in league). It is ceding 45.6 rebounds per contest (24th-ranked).
  • The Heat are dishing out 26.1 dimes per game, which ranks them 16th in the NBA in 2024-25.
  • Miami is forcing 12.5 turnovers per game this year (24th-ranked in NBA), but it has committed only 12.6 turnovers per game (fifth-best).
  • The Heat are eighth in the NBA with 13.9 treys per game so far this year. Meanwhile, they rank 15th with a 35.9% shooting percentage from downtown.

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Hawks Performance Insights

  • The Hawks are seventh in the NBA in points scored (117 per game) and third-worst in points allowed (119.6).
  • Atlanta grabs 45 rebounds per game and give up 44.7 boards, ranking 11th and 20th, respectively, in the league.
  • This season the Hawks are second-best in the NBA in assists at 29.3 per game.
  • In 2024-25, Atlanta is fifth-worst in the NBA in turnovers committed (15 per game) but second-best in turnovers forced (15.8).
  • In 2024-25, the Hawks are 15th in the NBA in 3-point makes (13.1 per game) and 20th in 3-point percentage (35%).

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