NBA Best Bets: Hawks vs. Heat Picks for February 24
Published 11:40 pm Sunday, February 23, 2025
The Atlanta Hawks (26-31) are favored (-1.5) to stop a three-game losing streak when they host the Miami Heat (26-29) at 7:30 PM ET on Monday, February 24, 2025 at State Farm Arena. The matchup airs on FDSSE and FDSSUN.
For the best bets you can make on Monday’s game, based on our computer predictions, keep reading.
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Hawks vs. Heat Game Info
- When: Monday, February 24, 2025 at 7:30 PM ET
- Where: State Farm Arena in Atlanta, Georgia
- TV: FDSSE and FDSSUN
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
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Hawks vs. Heat Best Bets
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Trae Young Over 28.5 PTS
- Trae Young’s 24.2 points per game average is 4.3 fewer than Monday’s over/under.
- So far this season, Young is 27-for-53 at going over the total set for his points prop.
- The Hawks are the NBA’s seventh-ranked scoring squad (117 points per game), while the Heat are eighth in points conceded (110.9 per game).
- Atlanta has a 22-18 record when finishing with more points than 110.9.
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Tyler Herro Over 26.5 PTS
- Monday’s over/under for Tyler Herro is 26.5 points, 2.3 more than his season average.
- Herro has gone over on his points prop on 29 occasions this season (in 53 games with such a prop).
- The 24th-ranked scoring NBA team (110.1 points per game) is Miami, while Atlanta ranks 28th in the league defensively (119.6 conceded per game).
- Miami is 9-4 when scoring more points than 119.6.
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Pick ATS: Hawks (- 1.5)
- Atlanta’s record against the spread is 27-30-0.
- Miami has covered the spread 25 times in 55 games.
- Against the spread as 1.5-point favorites or more, the Hawks are 5-15.
- The Heat are 10-15 as 1.5-point underdogs or more.
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Pick OU:
Under (231.5)
- The Hawks and their opponents have scored more than 231.5 points in 36 of 57 games this season.
- The Heat have played 19 games this season that have gone over 231.5 combined points scored.
- Atlanta’s contests this year have an average total of 234.7, 3.2 more points than this matchup’s over/under.
- Miami has had an average of 219.2 points scored in its games so far this season, 12.3 points fewer than this game’s over/under.
- The Heat are the NBA’s 27th-highest scoring team this season compared to the seventh-ranked Hawks.
- The Heat have allowed the third-fewest points in NBA play this season, while the Hawks have given up the 29th-fewest.
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Moneyline Pick: Hawks (-120)
- This season, the Hawks have been favored 19 times and won nine, or 47.4%, of those games.
- The Heat have been victorious in eight, or 33.3%, of the 24 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This season, Atlanta has won nine of its 19 games, or 47.4%, when favored by at least -120 on the moneyline.
- This year, Miami has won six of 21 games when listed as at least +100 or better on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Hawks, based on the moneyline, is 54.5%.
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