Monday’s contest at Harrison HPER Complex has the Alabama State Hornets (11-14, 7-5 SWAC) matching up with the Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils (3-22, 1-11 SWAC) at 7:00 PM ET. Our computer prediction is a one-sided 78-65 victory, as our model heavily favors Alabama State.

Based on our computer prediction, Mississippi Valley State is projected to cover the spread (18.5) against Alabama State. The two sides are expected to exceed the 138.5 total.

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Alabama State vs. Mississippi Valley State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Monday, February 17, 2025
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• TV: SWAC Digital Network
• Where: Itta Bena, Mississippi
• Venue: Harrison HPER Complex
• Line: Alabama State -18.5
• Point total: 138.5
• Moneyline (to win): Alabama State -3448, Mississippi Valley State +1280

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Alabama State vs. Mississippi Valley State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Alabama State 78, Mississippi Valley State 65

Spread & Total Prediction for Alabama State vs. Mississippi Valley State

• Pick ATS: Mississippi Valley State (+18.5)
• Pick OU: Over (138.5)

Alabama State has compiled an 8-15-0 record against the spread this season, while Mississippi Valley State is 9-14-0. Both the Hornets and the Delta Devils are 11-12-0 in terms of hitting the over in their games this season. The two teams put up 128.3 points per game combined, 10.2 fewer than this matchup’s total. Over the past 10 games, Alabama State has a 2-8 record against the spread while going 5-5 overall. Mississippi Valley State has gone 5-5 against the spread and 1-9 overall in its last 10 matches.

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Alabama State Performance Insights

• The Hornets are being outscored by 1.9 points per game with a -47 scoring differential overall. They put up 74.5 points per game (175th in college basketball) and give up 76.4 per contest (305th in college basketball).
• Alabama State ranks 203rd in college basketball at 31.7 rebounds per game. That’s 5.1 fewer than the 36.8 its opponents average.
• Alabama State makes 9.1 three-pointers per game (59th in college basketball) at a 32.9% rate (246th in college basketball), compared to the 8.2 its opponents make while shooting 34.5% from beyond the arc.
• The Hornets rank 254th in college basketball by averaging 93.2 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 258th in college basketball, allowing 95.5 points per 100 possessions.
• Alabama State has committed three fewer turnovers per game than its opponents, averaging 8.8 (10th in college basketball action) while forcing 11.8 (147th in college basketball).

Mississippi Valley State Performance Insights

• The Delta Devils have a -719 scoring differential, falling short by 28.7 points per game. They’re putting up 53.8 points per game, 364th in college basketball, and are giving up 82.5 per outing to rank 357th in college basketball.
• The 24.4 rebounds per game Mississippi Valley State accumulates rank 363rd in college basketball, 9.1 fewer than the 33.5 its opponents grab.
• Mississippi Valley State connects on 4 three-pointers per game (364th in college basketball) at a 27.2% rate (362nd in college basketball), compared to the 9 per contest its opponents make, shooting 37.8% from beyond the arc.
• Mississippi Valley State has come up short in the turnover battle by 5.2 per game, committing 15.4 (362nd in college basketball) while forcing 10.2 (294th in college basketball).

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