Monday’s game that pits the Southern Jaguars (15-8, 10-0 SWAC) against the Alabama State Hornets (9-14, 5-5 SWAC) at Dunn-Oliver Acadome has a projected final score of 75-71 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of Southern, who is a slight favorite in this matchup according to our model. Tipoff is at 7:00 PM ET on February 10.

According to our computer prediction, Alabama State is projected to cover the spread (3.5) against Southern. The two sides are expected to eclipse the 141.5 over/under.

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Southern vs. Alabama State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Monday, February 10, 2025
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• TV: SWAC Digital Network
• Where: Montgomery, Alabama
• Venue: Dunn-Oliver Acadome
• Line: Southern -3.5
• Point total: 141.5
• Moneyline (to win): Southern -160, Alabama State +132

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Southern vs. Alabama State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Southern 75, Alabama State 71

Spread & Total Prediction for Southern vs. Alabama State

• Pick ATS: Alabama State (+3.5)
• Pick OU: Over (141.5)

Southern has a 10-9-0 record against the spread this season compared to Alabama State, who is 6-15-0 ATS. The Jaguars have hit the over in eight games, while Hornets games have gone over 10 times. The two teams combine to score 150.8 points per game, 9.3 more points than this matchup’s total. Over the past 10 contests, Southern has a 5-5 record against the spread while going 10-0 overall. Alabama State has gone 1-9 against the spread and 5-5 overall in its last 10 matches.

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Southern Performance Insights

• The Jaguars have a +169 scoring differential, topping opponents by 7.3 points per game. They’re putting up 76.6 points per game to rank 113th in college basketball and are giving up 69.3 per contest to rank 102nd in college basketball.
• Southern is 65th in the nation at 34.5 rebounds per game. That’s 4.5 more than the 30 its opponents average.
• Southern makes 7 three-pointers per game (254th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 7.7. It shoots 32.7% from deep while its opponents hit 34.7% from long range.
• The Jaguars rank 201st in college basketball by averaging 95 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 41st in college basketball, allowing 85.9 points per 100 possessions.
• Southern has committed 2.9 fewer turnovers per game than its opponents, averaging 12.2 (264th in college basketball action) while forcing 15.1 (11th in college basketball).

Alabama State Performance Insights

• The Hornets’ -60 scoring differential (being outscored by 2.6 points per game) is a result of putting up 74.2 points per game (189th in college basketball) while giving up 76.8 per outing (312th in college basketball).
• Alabama State falls short in the rebound battle by an average of 5.5 boards. It pulls down 31 rebounds per game (254th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 36.5.
• Alabama State knocks down 9 three-pointers per game (66th in college basketball) at a 32.8% rate (252nd in college basketball), compared to the 8.2 its opponents make, shooting 34.6% from deep.
• Alabama State has had fewer turnovers than its opponents this season, committing 8.8 per game (seventh in college basketball) while forcing 11.8 (155th in college basketball).

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