Best Bets, Predictions & Odds for the Troy vs. Arkansas State Game – Saturday, Oct. 26

Published 9:24 pm Wednesday, October 23, 2024

The Arkansas State Red Wolves (4-3) face a Sun Belt matchup against the Troy Trojans (1-6). For odds and best bets, keep reading.

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When and Where is Troy vs. Arkansas State?

  • Date: Saturday, October 26, 2024
  • Time: 7 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • City: Jonesboro, Arkansas
  • Venue: Centennial Bank Stadium

Troy vs. Arkansas State Prediction & Moneyline Pick

  • Prediction: Arkansas State 29, Troy 20
  • Arkansas State is -292 on the moneyline, and Troy is +230.
  • Arkansas State has been listed as the moneyline favorite only two other times so far this season, and they won both of the games.
  • The Red Wolves have played as a moneyline favorite of -292 or shorter in just one game this season, which they won.
  • This season, Troy has been listed as the underdog in four games and failed to win any of those contests.
  • The Trojans have not won as an underdog of +230 or more on the moneyline this season in four such games.
  • The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Red Wolves a 74.5% chance to win.

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Against the Spread Pick

  • Pick ATS:

    Arkansas State (-7.5)

  • Arkansas State has three wins in six games versus the spread this season.
  • The Red Wolves have yet to cover the spread this season when favored by 7.5 points or more.
  • Troy has two wins versus the spread in seven games this year.
  • The Trojans have been underdogs by 7.5 points or more four times this season and covered the spread once.

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Best Over/Under Pick

  • Pick OU: Under (50.5)
  • Arkansas State and its opponents have combined to hit the over on Saturday’s over/under of 50.5 points three times this season.
  • In the Troy’s seven games this season, four have finished with more combined scoring than Saturday’s over/under of 50.5.
  • Arkansas State averages 22.6 points per game against Troy’s 19.0, totaling 8.9 points under the game’s total of 50.5.

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Key Stats Splits

Arkansas State

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 58.4 64.0 55.6
Implied Total AVG 35.5 35.0 35.8
ATS Record 3-3-0 1-1-0 2-2-0
Over/Under Record 2-4-0 0-2-0 2-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-0 1-0 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-3 1-0 0-3

Troy

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 49.4 49.1 49.8
Implied Total AVG 32.0 31.0 33.3
ATS Record 2-5-0 1-3-0 1-2-0
Over/Under Record 2-5-0 1-3-0 1-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-2 1-2 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-4 0-1 0-3

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